₿
Bitcoin Cycle Intelligence
ELITE PRO — Institutional Grade Analytics
Initializing systems...
₿ CYCLE INTELLIGENCE — ELITE PRO
$--
+0.00%
Composite
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RISK ON
-- : -- UTC
⚠ ALERT
Cycle Phase Engine
Current Market Phase
--
-- confidence
Phase Signals
Confidence Breakdown
Composite Score System
Adaptive Intelligence Score
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/ 100
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Regime-Adaptive Weights
🤖
Market Intelligence Engine
AI POWERED
LIVE
Analyzing market conditions across all 7 intelligence layers...
Cycle Similarity Engine
7-Layer Intelligence System
Real Multi-Dimensional Analysis
AUTO-ADAPTIVE
Mode: DEFAULT
Market Regime Engine
5-Factor Multi-Dimensional Analysis
Factor Analysis
Recommended Posture
Regime-Adaptive Weights
Probabilistic Cycle Model
Scenario Distribution
Historical Cycle Similarity
Most Similar Cycle
Early Warning System
Smart Alert Engine
Liquidity Impact Meter
Smart Money Behavior
Market Metrics
Real-Time Intelligence
LIVE
Halving Cycle Progress
Time-Based Cycle Analysis
--
days since halving
Halving Apr '24
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Peak Window Probability
Historical Cycle Overlay
Where Are We Now?
🏛
Institutional Research Framework
Quantitative transparency & research-grade analytics
INSTITUTIONAL GRADE
v3.1-FIXED
🔌
Data Sources & Methodology
API status, refresh intervals, data lineage
▼
Live API Status Monitor
Data Stream Control
⟳ Force Refresh All Sources
Data Lineage & Source Mapping
📐
Composite Score Methodology
Full formula, weight, and normalization disclosure
▼
Indicator Weight & Formula Disclosure
Weight Distribution (Current Regime)
Scoring Normalization Methods
⏮
Historical Replay Engine
Simulate composite score on past cycles
▼
2013 Cycle
2017 Cycle
2021 Cycle
All Cycles Composite
Composite Score Simulation —
2013 Cycle
Model Performance Notes
📊
Confidence & Uncertainty Quantification
Statistical confidence intervals, sensitivity analysis
▼
Model Confidence Metrics
Confidence Interval Visualization
Error Sources & Uncertainty
Sensitivity Analysis
Drag to adjust individual layer weights and observe composite score change
SENSITIVITY OUTPUT
💾
Raw Data Access Layer
Export CSV, view raw indicators, developer console
▼
Raw Indicator Values
⬇ Export CSV
⬇ Export JSON
Developer Console
Clear
Copy All
🌊
Macro Correlation Engine
Rolling correlations: M2 / DXY / Real yields / CB balance sheet
▼
Window:
30D
90D
180D
Method:
Pearson
Spearman
Rolling Macro Correlations with BTC
Macro Factor Impact Analysis
Correlation Heatmap
📈
Performance & Risk Dashboard
Sharpe ratio, Sortino, risk/reward distribution
▼
Cycle Phase Probability Heatmap
🟢 Accum
🔵 Early Bull
🟡 Bull Exp
🟠 Euphoria
🔴 Distrib
Risk/Reward Distribution
⚠️
Model Limitations & Risk Disclosure
Mandatory institutional-grade statistical caveats
▼
📄
Research Whitepaper Generator
Auto-generate downloadable research document
▼
Whitepaper Contents
📄 Generate & Download
📝 Export Markdown
Whitepaper Preview
🎯
Multi-Tier Support Structure
Probability-weighted bottom scenarios | DCA entry zones
▼
📊 CURRENT PRICE & PROJECTION
Current Price (Live API)
--
-- from ATH
|
-- phase
Pi Cycle Top Signal
$126K
Projection target
🎯 PROBABILITY-WEIGHTED SUPPORT LEVELS
🟡 PRIMARY SUPPORT
(45% probability)
$55K - $58K
200W MA ($58K) + Realized Price ($55K) - Historical floor
💰 ACTION: START DCA HERE
🟢 SECONDARY SUPPORT
(30% probability)
$48K - $52K
SMA 1458d zone ($48K) - 4-Year MA support
💰💰 ACTION: HEAVY BUY ZONE
🟢 DEEP SUPPORT
(20% probability)
$40K - $45K
LTH Realized Price ($40K) - Long-term holder cost basis
💰💰💰 ACTION: AGGRESSIVE BUY
🟢 EXTREME SUPPORT
(<5% probability)
$30K - $37K
0.79x SMA 1458d ($30K) - Black swan scenario
🚨 ACTION: ALL-IN LEVEL
📈 RISK/REWARD FROM CURRENT PRICE
Upside Target:
$126K (+97% from current)
Downside Risk:
$55K (-14%) to $30K (-53%)
🏛